Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 12:25:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 12:25:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 12:26:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 99,856.27
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 70% of explained volume
Relative context
2.4x above local average
1.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
99,856.27 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000F15B58121057dA08c25238067D74684B36B1d.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 99856 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000F15B58121057dA08c25238067D74684B36B1d.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 12:25:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
69,440.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x000F15B58121057dA08c25238067D74684B36B1d
Net receiver
Unknown type
69,440.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0067B6107E377452B642e74db9927fDd023B836D
Net sender
Unknown type
10,416.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 69,440.44 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:24:47 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
90,707.58 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:23:47 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
99,856.27 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:25:47 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:22:47 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
75,416.02 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:26:47 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
65,000 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:21:47 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:28:06 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:20:47 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
69,440.44 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:25:11 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x000F15B58121057dA08c25238067D74684B36B1d
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
10,416.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:25:34 P.M.
From: 0x0067B6107E377452B642e74db9927fDd023B836D
To: 0x001f2aB7Df9B498A4F050EE9a64d7d01E0161929
Tx: 0x00450004439f8e9d56c3b9baf0403d46aabe303473993f29cb2f05cda793b119
19,999.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:25:34 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0040000fc9f9c8d9419d3f496e90ae3a320ba17d020d92ded0afbe92449aa994
69,440.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:25:11 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x000F15B58121057dA08c25238067D74684B36B1d
Tx: 0x0048003c1c6fcb117f1e9e0be0f313bde0b2fd74165ee5b596a9051fb226ea3e