Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 12:23:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 12:23:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 12:24:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 90,707.58
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 1,135.21
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
1.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
90,707.58 QUAI
1,135.21 QI
Avg confidence
79.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 90708 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 12:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
49,040.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Net receiver
Unknown type
49,040.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001163e0Eaa0045e211DD713E668Eb2F90c47b1C
Net sender
Unknown type
41,666.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001f2aB7Df9B498A4F050EE9a64d7d01E0161929
Net receiver
Unknown type
41,666.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
StratumX miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
700 QI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 49,040.92 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:22:47 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
65,000 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:21:47 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
90,707.58 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:23:47 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:20:47 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:24:47 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
8.44 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:19:47 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate3 tx
99,856.27 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:25:47 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
75,416.02 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:26:47 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
49,040.92 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:23:40 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
700 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:23:44 P.M.
From: StratumX miner
0x000cc9b297B5D1AaE46Cd4325D303D978Fb71f63
Miner wallet
To: 0x00a6B505b8D726faaAf723BDc1B469F677954185
Tx: 0x00090048dc52353b1b844e324771a6234014e5789455c89eb896832b44f1c678
49,040.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:23:40 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Tx: 0x00440053864f02125f3b5b3f58a6558b0738a048615bf34d81695a8881f498bf
41,666.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:23:40 P.M.
From: 0x001163e0Eaa0045e211DD713E668Eb2F90c47b1C
To: 0x001f2aB7Df9B498A4F050EE9a64d7d01E0161929
Tx: 0x00730060d7451b858aebee2cca47a91e7fb14a0375de24c8ca31ebfee526a50f
435.21 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:23:00 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a
Tx: 0x0057005bc1b67534031c851a590569c05c922268fabfeb0eda4ea7bb68a6e7dd