Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 12:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 12:17:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 12:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 830.06
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 554.62
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
830.06 QUAI
554.62 QI
Avg confidence
73.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 830 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 12:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
624.01 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
559.63 QI across 3 visible rows
0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a
Net receiver
Unknown type
559.63 QI across 3 visible rows
0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
Net sender
Unknown type
299.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
206.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a
3 repeated flows • 554.62 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 624.01 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:16:47 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:15:47 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
830.06 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:17:47 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate26 tx
2,058.82 QUAI • 33 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:14:47 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:13:47 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
8.44 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:19:47 P.M.
-4 min
50 tx
660.55 QUAI • 61 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:12:47 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:20:47 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
299.29 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:17:36 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
299.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:17:36 P.M.
From: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00490013cd935bfc5e9320a95606d514c74c259122af0751412510b9fbfe7afe
104.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:17:36 P.M.
From: 0x00013a286CCE4d2D5C5b47A313977bb5B981A30b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003d00787158c7f271a6801a08d1d7ce6bcc71852764a5cf9c6209be6d812625
113.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:17:36 P.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004500257d22f95aacd805dec0b2b598c5b2a3e1197f8f5e710c884b8a8ad99b
106.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:17:36 P.M.
From: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0062000f288be0d08c2fc5609ed3d1117699925cf1ce703d08001565b257e0bc
277.11 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:17:34 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a
Tx: 0x004a002baf8674a0e9c17124ca368cfdad120503424881b9c878bed3842c3f3e
277.51 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:17:24 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a
Tx: 0x006b00068dfa4c8876dd1d8eaf88123ab8f50eed9030c522988e8fa19c22b95f
5 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:17:24 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a
Tx: 0x00540073edaccf9026aee27a09fb0d20958191e356b0b85dc5a89ecead74d339
206.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:17:24 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x0048004f9cc819da032b53c6d8afe11d70fff49d17d970b9ad6566465b2f6db5
