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Spike bucket

07/20/2026, 12:17:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/20/2026, 12:17:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 12:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 830.06
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 554.62
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
830.06 QUAI
554.62 QI
Avg confidence
73.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 830 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 12:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
624.01 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
559.63 QI across 3 visible rows
0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a
Net receiver
Unknown type
559.63 QI across 3 visible rows
0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
Net sender
Unknown type
299.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
206.05 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000000x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a
3 repeated flows554.62 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 624.01 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

299.29 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:17:36 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

8 transactions
299.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:17:36 P.M.
From: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00490013cd935bfc5e9320a95606d514c74c259122af0751412510b9fbfe7afe
Open txWallet profile
104.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:17:36 P.M.
From: 0x00013a286CCE4d2D5C5b47A313977bb5B981A30b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003d00787158c7f271a6801a08d1d7ce6bcc71852764a5cf9c6209be6d812625
Open txWallet profile
113.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:17:36 P.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004500257d22f95aacd805dec0b2b598c5b2a3e1197f8f5e710c884b8a8ad99b
Open txWallet profile
106.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:17:36 P.M.
From: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0062000f288be0d08c2fc5609ed3d1117699925cf1ce703d08001565b257e0bc
Open txWallet profile
277.11 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:17:34 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a
Tx: 0x004a002baf8674a0e9c17124ca368cfdad120503424881b9c878bed3842c3f3e
277.51 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:17:24 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a
Tx: 0x006b00068dfa4c8876dd1d8eaf88123ab8f50eed9030c522988e8fa19c22b95f
5 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:17:24 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a
Tx: 0x00540073edaccf9026aee27a09fb0d20958191e356b0b85dc5a89ecead74d339
206.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:17:24 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x0048004f9cc819da032b53c6d8afe11d70fff49d17d970b9ad6566465b2f6db5
Open txWallet profile