Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 11:55:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 11:55:00 A.M. to 07/20/2026, 11:56:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
50% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 19,999.16
Unexplained QUAI: 19,999.16
Explained QI: 296.42
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
5.3x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
39,998.31 QUAI
296.42 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 39998 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 11:55:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
296.43 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
296.43 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,071 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/20/2026, 11:54:47 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 11:53:47 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
39,998.31 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/20/2026, 11:55:47 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
2,996.01 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 11:56:47 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 11:51:47 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 11:57:47 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
15,999.63 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 11:50:47 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 11:58:47 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.16 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 11:55:31 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
296.42 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 11:55:45 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003a0050352ae3cbcb12b3148bcdb1e3bc5706e4821a31db59b2b2bc31083343
19,999.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 11:55:31 A.M.
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x007c000729b11f377c927efa037f2caf897c84932b23e9a62d3f2d17c86c5a72