Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 11:13:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 11:13:00 A.M. to 07/20/2026, 11:14:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
44% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,569.65
Unexplained QUAI: 2,030.25
Explained QI: 563.16
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
4.3x above local average
3.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
52
Observable rows
3
5.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
62
Asset volume
3,599.9 QUAI
563.16 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0063743f68d780020cDb24e464AE75C2Bf0B8686.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 3600 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0063743f68d780020cDb24e464AE75C2Bf0B8686.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 11:13:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (56% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (44%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
1,569.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0063743f68d780020cDb24e464AE75C2Bf0B8686
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,569.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
563.17 QI across 2 visible rows
0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Net receiver
Unknown type
563.17 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
2 repeated flows • 563.16 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate52 tx
3,599.9 QUAI • 62 addresses
07/20/2026, 11:13:23 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/20/2026, 11:12:23 A.M.
+1 min
17 tx
1,202.67 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/20/2026, 11:14:23 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 11:11:23 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 11:15:23 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 11:10:23 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
1,800 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/20/2026, 11:16:23 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
64.06 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/20/2026, 11:09:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,569.65 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 11:13:08 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0063743f68d780020cDb24e464AE75C2Bf0B8686
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
281.86 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 11:13:55 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x001f0035ff1eec9366b2c614d0e509eb156e6397ac5cb52eb037dcaf3becabbf
281.3 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 11:13:10 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x0064000f7986873fb5b1cedfb89f6d17f413458e36193080fbe4b3e03092e828
1,569.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 11:13:08 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0063743f68d780020cDb24e464AE75C2Bf0B8686
Tx: 0x0074003eb0e6768980a3e836881a0f736324b88b4ede21401e134bdeff429e98