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Spike bucket

07/20/2026, 11:05:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/20/2026, 11:05:00 A.M. to 07/20/2026, 11:06:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,147.45
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 277.21
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
0 QUAI
277.21 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 11:05:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,147.45 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef
Net sender
Unknown type
1,628.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d9e4F409D06A0e67F754FC49f63753B8648D7
Net sender
Unknown type
1,518.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
277.21 QI across 1 visible row
0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Net receiver
Unknown type
277.21 QI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,147.45 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

1,628.79 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 11:05:44 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

3 transactions
1,628.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 11:05:44 A.M.
From: 0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0045006e43232085fa9432df085e0cddf9cb23847ab782ce640ecda1f4be8322
Open txWallet profile
1,518.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 11:05:44 A.M.
From: 0x004d9e4F409D06A0e67F754FC49f63753B8648D7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0061005a02269e3fa47e40c43157658e2e32401aa29d3a4b93d3e5c327d7c05a
Open txWallet profile
277.21 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 11:05:23 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x001c004e9359d9c8d9e581bb2ed08141445a9b481ddee4df3c10dfc93699a901
Open txWallet profile