Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 10:02:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 10:02:00 A.M. to 07/20/2026, 10:03:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,664.74
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 245.9
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
3.9x above local average
18x previous minute
315x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
3,664.74 QUAI
245.9 QI
Avg confidence
67.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002e1348FC22fC32fCd7cf87e77EF2BF9698595E.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3665 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002e1348FC22fC32fCd7cf87e77EF2BF9698595E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 10:02:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,664.74 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002e1348FC22fC32fCd7cf87e77EF2BF9698595E
Net sender
Unknown type
1,908.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00279bfA5028d7d4052c1091b620fC0c255c13Ca
Net sender
Unknown type
603.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D39B55B52eCD6F0868eAF17A5480945e280A8
Net sender
Unknown type
521 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005F081251401B5c7e624443FED556cdA2F96df8
Net sender
Unknown type
348.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,664.74 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
209.17 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/20/2026, 10:00:42 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate1 tx
5,429.78 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 9:59:47 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
11.62 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 10:04:48 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 10:05:41 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/20/2026, 9:56:42 A.M.
-10 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 9:51:42 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,908.98 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 10:02:14 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002e1348FC22fC32fCd7cf87e77EF2BF9698595E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
245.9 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 10:02:37 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x002b006e097d28dca896706987aad47a48b404a788d637cbb41d1024a5e58bf1
603.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 10:02:14 A.M.
From: 0x00279bfA5028d7d4052c1091b620fC0c255c13Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006400266e35acf2ea8005fd726bb2d39dba1237eded023a02d52ccdc32aa929
521 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 10:02:14 A.M.
From: 0x004D39B55B52eCD6F0868eAF17A5480945e280A8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e006f28ad49dccde98e5847b2da2c46a28979ee7b4d46b680592b1310ca9c
348.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 10:02:14 A.M.
From: 0x005F081251401B5c7e624443FED556cdA2F96df8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006e003e847a872e7f02d11d0dffb04408d7011cf90865be3288bda2d7a84290
282.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 10:02:14 A.M.
From: 0x0051589c20c542525f2a1c8C9f5d8Bf62f5b16CC
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0000007f08773469c83dde5500063dfacfa179ccd6fa637616710830bbbc9016
1,908.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 10:02:14 A.M.
From: 0x002e1348FC22fC32fCd7cf87e77EF2BF9698595E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001e00773a48a35d945c56c046cdd22785c0ef65a256e794970f897b744bb0b1