Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 7:20:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 7:20:00 A.M. to 07/20/2026, 7:21:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 50,334.04
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
5.7x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
50,334.04 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 50334 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 7:20:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
50,334.04 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net sender
Unknown type
30,118.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Net sender
Unknown type
111.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015216C123A2532e9bf6b0Af42402Ae0f0ACFC7
Net sender
Unknown type
104.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 50,334.04 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
6.76 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:19:41 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:18:41 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
50,334.04 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:20:41 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
20,009.11 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:17:41 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:21:41 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:16:41 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
217.9 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:22:41 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:15:41 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
30,118.66 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:20:30 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
111.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:20:30 A.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0069007e5ae7f2cba33f70dc58c6882a42fc64334ba2c84532b64d96a422f69a
104.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:20:30 A.M.
From: 0x0015216C123A2532e9bf6b0Af42402Ae0f0ACFC7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004700475d164155bfcdbc39e294aa2b4ab79a62c8e8ce38d833edec28c9425c
30,118.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:20:30 A.M.
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0020003187107f9b111354ec80e4f0af154dd2cec9517914f0c8e8b89d1289a8
19,998.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:20:30 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d002978fd3c2c71c32ca560f09aabef3d5051826e11d748b8430447f5d250