Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 6:26:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 6:26:00 A.M. to 07/20/2026, 6:27:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
72% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,616.36
Unexplained QUAI: 3,285.91
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 20% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
1.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
11
91.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
11,902.27 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003b4Bc4Ec5ADE7673dba21e99A8F5AC2ecCD798.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 11902 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003b4Bc4Ec5ADE7673dba21e99A8F5AC2ecCD798.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 6:26:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (28% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
8,616.36 QUAI across 11 visible rows
Known watch context
0x003b4Bc4Ec5ADE7673dba21e99A8F5AC2ecCD798
Net sender
Unknown type
1,741.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
1,483.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005321365b4D638f696F96Ea8de1d44843c1BA8f
Net sender
Unknown type
1,090.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00455B429136EEA27741a48f8EfdD3f800aC9EEE
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 8,616.36 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate30 tx
18,152.13 QUAI • 41 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:25:42 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
9,729.31 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:24:42 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
11,902.27 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:26:42 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:23:42 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
1,708.39 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:27:41 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
1,708.94 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:22:42 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:28:41 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
3,286.46 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:21:42 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,741.35 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:26:27 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003b4Bc4Ec5ADE7673dba21e99A8F5AC2ecCD798
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
703.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:26:27 A.M.
From: 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003c001388bddd9d84ca89ebb43e8a2e2fe159c15bbdb3795f3ab97487177211
648.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:26:27 A.M.
From: 0x0076EA0Dd7a69eD5Fb6939D80Def75550182D037
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003a000c4d42972817751bd190b757be2162af947ecf203347b2f7e7dc68653f
235.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:26:27 A.M.
From: 0x007d5c74B3EAdaAD3f0986Ae9D4908d00d07D2AC
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d00275c2bf1cebd3421980bab3e619b1ac6fe6b4913377ada641f6280d103
1,000.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:26:27 A.M.
From: 0x00455B429136EEA27741a48f8EfdD3f800aC9EEE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a001bace6959c7160182c9dcbfe945d35c591fdb6254e9fac0350bc871e74
266.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:26:27 A.M.
From: 0x002339338afB687a8141a968A1cf7CC6d0642eaC
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000b001120fc6acb151302fc7b444c07c2208c8ee6be18a7c50e57129fc4e801
245.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:26:27 A.M.
From: 0x0024C3E97040ec73c8B2b4c6129f7443dA177214
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003c000b73c1d3d511811e4b80b6e75fee4930e618e7e2fd52e6c8b86f7ed22c
650.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:26:27 A.M.
From: 0x0023A5425Db9c16Fe3B53D6De5a3903FC5f1CA07
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007f003464539e84aa544304da8bc9278926b13578a63de1497bc926d51ebb53
1,483.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:26:27 A.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001300188d1ee336c21850451c49b9ffd6db6d7ce3d1f73aa0cfd2384e3c771a
1,090.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:26:27 A.M.
From: 0x005321365b4D638f696F96Ea8de1d44843c1BA8f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0012002d96dcbc7093db9e8b2ed21fb38c56e21dbfb54311710d51e61fcacd57
552.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:26:27 A.M.
From: 0x005E46386A499573Fc0d4F122526bdE398DDcF34
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004800204333edcfb704206c94e565ab9bfdcf8587d1e388bc874658c9516dcf
1,741.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:26:27 A.M.
From: 0x003b4Bc4Ec5ADE7673dba21e99A8F5AC2ecCD798
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00370032cb5217eacfbc8692c4cb5b31e966b600a494e0077b3b70a3192edbfe
