Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 5:04:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 5:04:00 A.M. to 07/20/2026, 5:05:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 129.04
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
50.85 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 51 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 5:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
129.04 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C
Net receiver
Unknown type
67.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004fa247B53591DD305ED981dcBC5B57679Af5e0
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003067b067Cb41FeF60051d26bA4B5b1AaFb3e53
Net receiver
Unknown type
10.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 5:03:41 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
19,999.09 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 5:02:41 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
50.85 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/20/2026, 5:04:42 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
9,999.09 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 5:01:41 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
78.19 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 5:05:41 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
10.46 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/20/2026, 5:00:42 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate4 tx
152,682.31 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/20/2026, 5:06:41 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:59:41 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
67.5 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 5:04:53 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
67.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 5:04:53 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C
Tx: 0x0069005a4d036c095b7afc1661bf5e67e0faac63df0f1c042fdc12bab960788f
10.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 5:04:40 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x003067b067Cb41FeF60051d26bA4B5b1AaFb3e53
Tx: 0x005d003a63248bcbf81b6875800f66f14475e27eec8a3ba33d840f7547e3c070
50.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 5:04:12 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x004fa247B53591DD305ED981dcBC5B57679Af5e0
Tx: 0x00490050f9409e455abe21468fa2a0208b507a79e21f565d5694ddf376f03a9c