Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 4:54:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 4:54:00 A.M. to 07/20/2026, 4:55:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 29,560.42
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
13,174.93 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 13175 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 4:54:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
16,385.49 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
13,174.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00423Cd3e536DB52995c764D6Ced35F949DAFE84
Net receiver
Unknown type
13,174.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
10,745.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 16,385.49 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:53:41 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:52:42 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
13,174.93 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:54:41 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
10,745.81 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:51:41 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
16,385.49 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:55:42 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
19,999.09 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:50:41 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate1 tx
28,882 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:56:41 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:49:41 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
13,174.93 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:54:20 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x00423Cd3e536DB52995c764D6Ced35F949DAFE84
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
4,999.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:54:55 A.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e001fca1064fd2421bcd2dd57c356f2112781bdc711c9220c71617f50b5d2
640.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:54:55 A.M.
From: 0x00746b490b8c19b148900d81d145B086153c3749
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005800541f50606dc1bbfe9f39dc01e963ca6fd2e3e97cdd21b5bee8897f6c61
10,745.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:54:55 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0057001da1a3acb0e4ac533c47c53fcb970d42481d2e46789b54c85a9bec93a1
13,174.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:54:20 A.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x00423Cd3e536DB52995c764D6Ced35F949DAFE84
Tx: 0x004d000eb26192a3d733654761df1e6550fa93bbf2faf7803cac1fefaee9ab27