Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 2:59:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 2:59:00 A.M. to 07/20/2026, 3:00:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
59% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15,186.01
Unexplained QUAI: 10,680.89
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 65% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
20x previous minute
17x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
7
77.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
25,866.9 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 25867 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 2:59:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (41% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (59%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
9,812.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,812.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,673.87 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x007C324612C259c8591f52DA8C11B5B44Bd83F73
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,148.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,699.94 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 9,812.2 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
25,866.9 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:59:19 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
1,277.09 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:58:19 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
1,525.11 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:00:19 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate26 tx
75,843.38 QUAI • 37 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:57:19 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
3,012.38 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:01:20 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
6,027.16 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:56:19 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:02:18 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
4,711.69 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:55:19 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,812.2 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:59:04 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
72.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:59:35 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007d6460241ed9C4E4f78D4077e6B90b25269a4c
Tx: 0x001a001168fe86f8a18ca318d5ff5413f2d735c62858baaf3008e463da6c6cf7
1,452.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:59:25 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007Cc9f8E4B5741DbCB2efc1540e83e948164487
Tx: 0x006c006eda56ab5f520405d13e730f65542ab6857f936517fb08634d37442814
2,148.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:59:04 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007C324612C259c8591f52DA8C11B5B44Bd83F73
Tx: 0x006700484fb57945e4e07ca77633f0af6beb6b19ae42301edb73325f489b42a3
9,812.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:59:04 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
Tx: 0x00050041a2da41eee3e56ada89e23cd7147849684c277a360d1830c1014a7b84
452.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:59:04 A.M.
From: 0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003d006583ace46a512c89d45a825c3db727d7a8349b5539504ec4efc60c5019
585.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:59:04 A.M.
From: 0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004300261d8fa6a7ac366b992cfd1cc3f6090434ba69f045cd945efd7cab3038
661.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:59:04 A.M.
From: 0x004b24261E537dE9fC1759aC11a635A4299C9C05
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003a001e327e509f758a990492839a90a277536a630d699e458ca1a16678312d