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Spike bucket

07/20/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/20/2026, 2:41:00 A.M. to 07/20/2026, 2:42:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
41% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,387.09
Unexplained QUAI: 6,235.46
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
12x previous minute
2.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
10,622.55 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 10623 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowThin source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (59% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (41%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,606.42 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,873.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
780.67 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x005Ac3a9d3b01e2C5b7745AAd6C4C3Af0d120718
Net receiver
Unknown type
473.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
Net receiver
Unknown type
452.84 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

2,873.67 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:41:46 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

8 transactions
33.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:41:51 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004d6A8315C2D567fe944979a836F363a159A547
Tx: 0x004c00157f826951314d3bf78023f84621fdacad5f25b0dcc1ade156e51d5371
48.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:41:51 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005B61Fe3D0C8e8F44DF1684efc52Abb6e990227
Tx: 0x002f00230d02956b85b9976c8e4111266b436d322d00a420039594616e1dc065
226.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:41:46 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005AE28E0163Ba0d77cDC2eB96C44619bFf939d3
Tx: 0x0002006d35d6e61fce772caf0b4635743bc4adcb5b180b61389342f89178aab0
2,873.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:41:46 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
Tx: 0x0076003e2100a4f967e91f2bacace524bcfa26cc65860166c05b1c69588692b6
Open txWallet profile
246.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:41:43 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Tx: 0x00610056c1ee6ed03e0fc47187055946ae8680f1c5e53f919b13b2f5109ed5bd
473.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:41:43 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005Ac3a9d3b01e2C5b7745AAd6C4C3Af0d120718
Tx: 0x007e006505c51150190e5ef137cd235aa93f2070e18db5202a3efee71523d790
452.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
Tx: 0x00110039a494713305ff2c53593ae74375d1743c78fed871df4b07fd2c621241
31.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005a2866738ab3B1676EB16Ae2A36B933f0A9cE3
Tx: 0x0036005f6987a93e83a91e224f1fd5b519aa580f835cd6744b00a0376296f4a0