Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 2:41:00 A.M. to 07/20/2026, 2:42:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
41% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,387.09
Unexplained QUAI: 6,235.46
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
12x previous minute
2.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
10,622.55 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 10623 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (59% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (41%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,606.42 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,873.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
780.67 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x005Ac3a9d3b01e2C5b7745AAd6C4C3Af0d120718
Net receiver
Unknown type
473.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
Net receiver
Unknown type
452.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate6 tx
10,622.55 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:41:19 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
904.36 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:40:18 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
4,190.71 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:42:18 A.M.
-2 min
14 tx
8,196.83 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:39:19 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
1,739.34 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:43:18 A.M.
-3 min
8 tx
9,186.15 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:38:19 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
3,837.26 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:44:19 A.M.
-4 min
12 tx
5,450.72 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:37:19 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,873.67 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:41:46 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
33.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:41:51 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004d6A8315C2D567fe944979a836F363a159A547
Tx: 0x004c00157f826951314d3bf78023f84621fdacad5f25b0dcc1ade156e51d5371
48.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:41:51 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005B61Fe3D0C8e8F44DF1684efc52Abb6e990227
Tx: 0x002f00230d02956b85b9976c8e4111266b436d322d00a420039594616e1dc065
226.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:41:46 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005AE28E0163Ba0d77cDC2eB96C44619bFf939d3
Tx: 0x0002006d35d6e61fce772caf0b4635743bc4adcb5b180b61389342f89178aab0
2,873.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:41:46 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
Tx: 0x0076003e2100a4f967e91f2bacace524bcfa26cc65860166c05b1c69588692b6
246.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:41:43 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Tx: 0x00610056c1ee6ed03e0fc47187055946ae8680f1c5e53f919b13b2f5109ed5bd
473.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:41:43 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005Ac3a9d3b01e2C5b7745AAd6C4C3Af0d120718
Tx: 0x007e006505c51150190e5ef137cd235aa93f2070e18db5202a3efee71523d790
452.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
Tx: 0x00110039a494713305ff2c53593ae74375d1743c78fed871df4b07fd2c621241
31.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005a2866738ab3B1676EB16Ae2A36B933f0A9cE3
Tx: 0x0036005f6987a93e83a91e224f1fd5b519aa580f835cd6744b00a0376296f4a0
