Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 2:36:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 2:36:00 A.M. to 07/20/2026, 2:37:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,469.07
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.2x previous minute
0.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
3,985.39 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0049A91b8628cb0Cb916085F09dF569E7BB40029.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3985 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0049A91b8628cb0Cb916085F09dF569E7BB40029.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 2:36:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
3,068.99 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0049A91b8628cb0Cb916085F09dF569E7BB40029
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,740.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,400.08 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00428223e5A122Bc9c05E214B591425c0F681C2D
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,245.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0049EaB9d98B6A255234ed69372Be50166dD4E08
Net receiver
Unknown type
298.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
3,985.39 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:36:18 A.M.
-1 min
9 tx
19,934.55 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:35:19 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
5,450.72 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:37:19 A.M.
-2 min
10 tx
6,131.83 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:34:19 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
9,186.15 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:38:19 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate44 tx
158,113.21 QUAI • 57 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:33:19 A.M.
+3 min
14 tx
8,196.83 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:39:19 A.M.
-4 min
12 tx
3,736.16 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:32:19 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,740.25 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:36:07 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0049A91b8628cb0Cb916085F09dF569E7BB40029
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
58.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:36:47 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: StratumX miner
0x0042cd7b12A9ef3B6d1f6deFe55447873B191729
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x003a007980402c8b572c382642616f938dd2020a3cc077b524016ca400cc9d4f
30.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:36:47 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004a589ef5f1617D763a50dF17186aa14A79A767
Tx: 0x0038004e39525cd9d58201783bc83f0532867ac44ce0438c2972e2bce45c0aaa
96.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:36:33 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0042A3B70352EDDEfBacB6Ae7329702F59Ec9544
Tx: 0x0060004243488fe5b5048c953dfdca05ac54e69c87e828a8e15d9d9aef1033d0
298.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:36:33 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0049EaB9d98B6A255234ed69372Be50166dD4E08
Tx: 0x004c00152b0d1c2acadc31571f5ebd8e26debaf9070509bf5ed929598b8793b8
1,245.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:36:07 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00428223e5A122Bc9c05E214B591425c0F681C2D
Tx: 0x00400053c8192f51ae0d0c16f78053752d44cd2047543266957541810f762476
2,740.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:36:07 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0049A91b8628cb0Cb916085F09dF569E7BB40029
Tx: 0x00750077f0e770cc816952ea451536225d83ff11d913c53c8650c3d54173e941