Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 2:32:00 A.M. to 07/20/2026, 2:33:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,950.5
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 89% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.3x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
7
58.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
3,736.16 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 3736 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
Net sender
Unknown type
9,731.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,731.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
622.49 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5
Net receiver
Unknown type
586.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
378.09 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
12 tx
3,736.16 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:32:19 A.M.
-1 min
10 tx
14,542.64 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:31:19 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate44 tx
158,113.21 QUAI • 57 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:33:19 A.M.
-2 min
16 tx
16,961 QUAI • 29 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:30:19 A.M.
+2 min
10 tx
6,131.83 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:34:19 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
4,577.7 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:29:19 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
19,934.55 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:35:19 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
11,209.14 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:28:18 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,731.15 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:32:26 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
58.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:32:38 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007f54d4bf9c0a3e16A10C60ef3fB8E6CC76b4c4
Tx: 0x003100531695cfd2c54e0fc9395a442742a1b105626f01df84f9930dd251c207
36.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:32:38 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0042A3B70352EDDEfBacB6Ae7329702F59Ec9544
Tx: 0x000400240895f938c9238a2e480c69dac2a45b4ed3a3a3f74ac86461c76b118e
289.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:32:38 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003d0A679462BC30C22CAC78fb18366ca4b9f383
Tx: 0x0046005b31d472890ae181d8b4c95fa5ae7e9525de5a376485ba690b82446fd1
88.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:32:26 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003B9EB11D8fA06841E5AC54f997AEED3E593bCB
Tx: 0x003400636d3917ad0ef1812d6aaed4025372c7d1646f7eb8f27542820ffa3618
160.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:32:26 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007c36aFFd5462Bd7aA58D497830Ff9Ed86f5656
Tx: 0x002b00430b5d03a2296b25d887381e6ca5c2473a23b19bace7b0cbdd9e62ee97
586.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:32:26 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5
Tx: 0x0078003b6b19d4032a78fb7e2da342d658eec7278364c871accb2f951278cba3
9,731.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:32:26 A.M.
From: 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0036000daf549a852f0bcb720afd660ec33fc1b9c548115e67eca22e6643ee0d
