Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 2:31:00 A.M. to 07/20/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
34% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,888.4
Unexplained QUAI: 9,654.24
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.9x previous minute
3.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
15
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
14,542.64 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0039cC73e7F472aFF0CE38EFD8e98e27Ef8fA062.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 14543 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0039cC73e7F472aFF0CE38EFD8e98e27Ef8fA062.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (66% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (34%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,292.94 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x0039cC73e7F472aFF0CE38EFD8e98e27Ef8fA062
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,857.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,121.73 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
Net receiver
Unknown type
813.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
473.73 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
10 tx
14,542.64 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:31:19 A.M.
-1 min
16 tx
16,961 QUAI • 29 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:30:19 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
3,736.16 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:32:19 A.M.
-2 min
12 tx
4,577.7 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:29:19 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate44 tx
158,113.21 QUAI • 57 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:33:19 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
11,209.14 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:28:18 A.M.
+3 min
10 tx
6,131.83 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:34:19 A.M.
-4 min
12 tx
3,389.97 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:27:19 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,857.76 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:31:33 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0039cC73e7F472aFF0CE38EFD8e98e27Ef8fA062
All transfers in this selected minute
15 transactions
41.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:31:41 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007C3141e22eFb3D184EBdD4aA039d476fa1DE43
Tx: 0x0023003bc06d62d08962c6ad19536f1bccaa7e9b0d3e0ae7e55ee804f1611949
281.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:31:41 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0041164B493EABffaa007A24972a145a8D15eE74
Tx: 0x005a000a10bb987b370d59e4335aa2a4896216fb5a045a050bd2de87ba9b38e2
281.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:31:41 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003b765e56156BFb75DfE454377C595e14E88dCa
Tx: 0x0065007b10ddd908946067708b8cccad2287dc1faabcb668b3b22aa68813bb5f
150.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:31:39 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0079c5eE80Af5B01AAc16B07A02eA44b126F62b3
Tx: 0x00360005c0fce29b60c4e8be742001b65fe265a8858a3191f5566e8f5a26a01c
41.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:31:39 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003B22f639A7A149De3ea47Fd46F70A42e5A0D8d
Tx: 0x005200055f516ddfcdff34559badf8213bcf78bbe2fe3c5ae53a138e6138483e
37.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:31:39 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0040157C1BdC5a7887c3616fEa4118Cf8728F850
Tx: 0x0031006650dac4243870ccd5367ea97c9bcac35570e5ea2163963c75bd351a35
1,857.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:31:33 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0039cC73e7F472aFF0CE38EFD8e98e27Ef8fA062
Tx: 0x00340024c2a04c17f368e115320c205c0a2bb8eeceeabcbf3f8f0bdfb48516e2
63.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:31:33 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004003427678c4BdB9B86d27a7a9b6569D85A263
Tx: 0x0074001994743d26aa22e0377611817a9f3ae0ece8203f4c9212493f940c30b0
109.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:31:33 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0077ee0d516382b2BBBc67A7c29C929fa8BE8B3E
Tx: 0x00310029ae3b4b7a371b97e5b1ce3b394ecfcd4c0aabca7b66678ab31fa7dd11
454.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:31:20 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003cEe495B0e567616aF202314b78c9596453303
Tx: 0x003f00704baa029883949d70df691074e86797fe182152ea6b4b624ce410f222
299.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:31:20 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7
Tx: 0x005e000f17c8e0f9ae1533fd46b541daf59ba89b56551ca153a99a084d53d352
118.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:31:20 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0077d5238617c3d334f4519263B4ae0F936A43d4
Tx: 0x0008004beec05500e41fd07a73c28534b302045b38dbf26ba0277a176421eae0
53.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:31:02 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00768F00f2e743590e4bA20C5D2fbB568e60c77C
Tx: 0x00720014f5a3bfb6139af8baebb35d18dd2d8dbe8d485bcab63c57c9021301c2
285.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:31:02 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003c9aC78A76ce401469475a1e2F9E372e1d754b
Tx: 0x001a0040bcb0f398d38a50853ce02bea8d7fc23fbbd6c1564bc9f6046dd7cd96
813.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:31:02 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
Tx: 0x003500103ca6f5729ca41836e515f25ca7266c81020db97266fa0b4b077259ff