Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 2:20:00 A.M. to 07/20/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,518.76
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 83% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.5x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
2,090.8 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 2091 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
7,380.58 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,061.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
925.2 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00212cc46b86CAA1A8FB441EE37de7370EeBBC0A
Net receiver
Unknown type
882.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0025c1f0DeA4c465Afdd41cAaB6E2cC6F530A800
Net receiver
Unknown type
318.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
2,090.8 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:20:21 A.M.
-1 min
20 tx
4,086.34 QUAI • 31 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:19:22 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
9,190.31 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:21:21 A.M.
-2 min
12 tx
9,390.14 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:18:22 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate39 tx
137,294.45 QUAI • 48 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:22:21 A.M.
-3 min
14 tx
6,568.82 QUAI • 28 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:17:22 A.M.
+3 min
12 tx
3,911.65 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:22:55 A.M.
-4 min
15 tx
6,148.43 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:16:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
7,061.99 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:20:36 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
37.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:20:55 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004300b429820F32A94E27fcA7479c7A9395A59a
Tx: 0x0038004c4e036e4d85f41c5ebfbd2e3014a8d480ada8409a68891a374cbacd3a
318.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:20:55 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0025c1f0DeA4c465Afdd41cAaB6E2cC6F530A800
Tx: 0x002900413453b2fba51076ac8eb971e7a66c66ad976f33e1ac86834bb35f0613
882.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:20:55 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00212cc46b86CAA1A8FB441EE37de7370EeBBC0A
Tx: 0x0006003f207eff57f94b802ea7a789c33460a4636791246ac0eab89ff265f44f
42.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:20:36 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00210F35c047a1E6C3377876C8B0e273a0f7332e
Tx: 0x00480008916308b075f65247d07d11a529cd49477ccb3ddf180376dd74e11a34
7,061.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:20:36 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
Tx: 0x000c00637fa9e7e529634e9d8941ebfe02d76f2fd50a8e5498be79b8e8d06f31
175.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:20:36 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00428aBCd879D00A29a436CE0cB998C3376b38E1
Tx: 0x000b00672d4dce07d714d2de867d285218e297f59813a5107b2cd0ecf5908a12
