Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 2:19:00 A.M. to 07/20/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,885.68
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.4x previous minute
2.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
20
Observable rows
12
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
31
Asset volume
4,086.34 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0022A0F44834db24b737283AF0a093B4fD2EAc72.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 4086 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0022A0F44834db24b737283AF0a093B4fD2EAc72.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
3,156.89 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0022A0F44834db24b737283AF0a093B4fD2EAc72
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,757.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,231.67 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00210882eCeCb8822A7B681a43f0F599a7513236
Net receiver
Unknown type
877.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A
Net receiver
Unknown type
546.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
20 tx
4,086.34 QUAI • 31 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:19:22 A.M.
-1 min
12 tx
9,390.14 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:18:22 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
2,090.8 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:20:21 A.M.
-2 min
14 tx
6,568.82 QUAI • 28 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:17:22 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
9,190.31 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:21:21 A.M.
-3 min
15 tx
6,148.43 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:16:21 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate39 tx
137,294.45 QUAI • 48 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:22:21 A.M.
-4 min
10 tx
5,802.57 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:15:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,757.6 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:19:25 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0022A0F44834db24b737283AF0a093B4fD2EAc72
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
269.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:19:25 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0020fE056a03c72c7F87ed27c760B30B80f64F09
Tx: 0x00240037e8e5f22d5a86ac902078951b2f6fd8a40e700f96ffa947aa44669d80
1,757.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:19:25 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0022A0F44834db24b737283AF0a093B4fD2EAc72
Tx: 0x00260015386fd76b6ad03883e9d2353084a3b2fd13c0d97cc9177ddf400922f5
63.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:19:25 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0040EDcF696F9e0248b62444343dd1C872e151f1
Tx: 0x0078006cf766161b572d79386ed5eba33e43bb52a0be8480edf20cdfb0363b80
30.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:19:17 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0022685e8Ee57Cfb4400e6ADC1f70184Fb26E7B2
Tx: 0x0075003b10ab51933691f1ad6cadfafd50c1d48045bea35a041d77e924f462be
194.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:19:17 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002039698813B45D9EF052686407d4AcdB346a38
Tx: 0x007a0023b1aec3719c08226cbdbb383c561d4af8a30762d96aa5790b37b193aa
66.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:19:17 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003d52F680f08272661A42C320831b54Ff1f21dd
Tx: 0x0045000fc80cd71fce0377df1f8d3b0076f0427885a26c061cf3419665dbceec
546.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:19:08 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A
Tx: 0x0024002714b95d67d2ea210b2525621f5a642cebf6ee554db9e20a261048bd4e
177.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:19:08 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003C459Cc8371f4433EF843bc10980A4697cb085
Tx: 0x00020051475fe9bb35437343db8b8c03a51cb810d48fc4fe4cd16b010142d867
492.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:19:08 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00222320062d091D63Fe7eb51A70D5E691D2Af67
Tx: 0x006b002d8e36f674ac90bb62810b544767e8f7cecb8d97a1207d97fee7857298
877.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:19:03 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00210882eCeCb8822A7B681a43f0F599a7513236
Tx: 0x00240060604ab43c8b43d64623cd659ee179ce068dddcc7c39b6a18cde959a0d
188.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:19:03 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003bA9cC15706b5b85A1490B44bCCdd94b6e1CF7
Tx: 0x00060004e58ea6fa774c7619fed4c7fe5eb605b500708dbd05484a7379bea137
220.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:19:03 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001d8b0943407f32c6f543D890C3b2E2f805D40a
Tx: 0x00160008c35df5f0fc8167bb23299027d82bfccd10ce4dfaf8972cf470530c96
