Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 2:18:00 A.M. to 07/20/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
79% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,432.8
Unexplained QUAI: 1,957.34
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
1.4x previous minute
2.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
15
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
9,390.14 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0031dD3f5BbF41c86343E77706A0C27D7fab01e4 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 9390 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0031dD3f5BbF41c86343E77706A0C27D7fab01e4 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (21% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0031dD3f5BbF41c86343E77706A0C27D7fab01e4
Net sender
Unknown type
4,211.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,211.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,248.99 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,190.81 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3
Net receiver
Unknown type
995.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate12 tx
9,390.14 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:18:22 A.M.
-1 min
14 tx
6,568.82 QUAI • 28 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:17:22 A.M.
+1 min
20 tx
4,086.34 QUAI • 31 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:19:22 A.M.
-2 min
15 tx
6,148.43 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:16:21 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
2,090.8 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:20:21 A.M.
-3 min
10 tx
5,802.57 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:15:21 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
9,190.31 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:21:21 A.M.
-4 min
31 tx
8,539.93 QUAI • 43 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:14:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,211.54 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0031dD3f5BbF41c86343E77706A0C27D7fab01e4
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
All transfers in this selected minute
15 transactions
117.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:18:57 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003Ae0bBb0BA9B92C0C6f21C68f34a30D0122402
Tx: 0x002600462bf9c36d12f8b1963265792e489b47a5b8a3a6753e83f78e5ba0c0b4
36.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:18:57 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001Cd0f21f4c4bbE4eA9Ea30F508e15887E17720
Tx: 0x0045006d0a807ded8ac7a7c68e81a70df249da1b4f0e1c82511f09e0c1a27735
69.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:18:57 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001f3E19dDB09B46450F8Df87120f8C3C66C16cC
Tx: 0x00140076b3a2f100e360acfcc538da93c2feedf93cb83319b44c2d96428e50d0
4.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:18:57 A.M.
From: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00370067c8b7e19c6633902060c6c8922a8931020598e9660f123ca23060d36a
4.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:18:57 A.M.
From: 0x006de603b1d5c1c9d0042B566d2918DE2becF53B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004d004e2fc21ea4edd4f051283ec145a03bb542da0d518b032682e976f55395
33.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:18:34 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001f13c4b07a799000cb5C566a68AB4a53e6786e
Tx: 0x0009000c0a57530331173d21e77209a6f0ae8048f35d7cb984f3bd48557bb355
159.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:18:34 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
Tx: 0x005e00197a40259f6e7797739e5b3a628eac472b9403ef92ada5fdb3eda5dc67
411.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:18:34 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001B7ebb4162a97bA4874252b6A12ecA9F73E40f
Tx: 0x00390057ead3e6bfdc43e1e6db29960f05daa779d673637761c41a4fca6a16f9
51.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:18:22 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0038bd0F966fCf088B2A382451937F9357d3EE9E
Tx: 0x004400274e2e06d96711627373c353a19e81eff3cf7ab812fe8eb9311d5ca839
252.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:18:22 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001A03928b4eC613Be64796727C3a13704162416
Tx: 0x0005000cbb28360035c330f3839428a251febe8b5bc7fdf3452c94a2f6ddde16
149.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:18:22 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001E7790F6107e17Ff7a8B44cB8DcB5329D894F0
Tx: 0x0056003134e2e546c69969a15efbc5ae5d6afcd514e1fb9d40125d71038e01b6
71.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0019E7335eeaFA078cE009813473919390AcfF96
Tx: 0x004b0070d1d074a66a187617bc3f9a1a8f76896a23e62e34746ffcb6f6485442
862.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003593FcBee9C0bD22E167bb10D78590772a9341
Tx: 0x00490017ebce2fda20a296e2ad272c1131a84d0a3a4fb62be04a35e0901870e1
995.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3
Tx: 0x0055000709c90d5a75b78ea55002de9ae5af8137640aea1d2d1f7ef88bf9b078
4,211.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
From: 0x0031dD3f5BbF41c86343E77706A0C27D7fab01e4
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x0011001673236c0c63b2da4cbba8c5d7109cc4dfad5fa8928ce55c4370b5d370
