Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 12:48:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 12:48:00 A.M. to 07/20/2026, 12:49:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 25,224.46
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
7.2x above local average
8.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
25,224.46 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 25224 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 12:48:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
18,088.15 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net sender
Unknown type
15,270.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
7,136.31 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
Net sender
Unknown type
2,817.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 18,088.15 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:47:47 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
2,827 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:46:47 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
25,224.46 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:48:47 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:49:47 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:45:15 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:50:47 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:44:15 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:51:47 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
15,270.92 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:48:31 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
15,270.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:48:31 A.M.
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007b007e6b850758a3f019d03b5b4ea3b2ab2259cfef9e40211155c4ac7388be
2,817.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:48:31 A.M.
From: 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003e0012d914d7e7691e9eb025ab141778c57d8b2c4460eebd7dec33d0fd082a
2,136.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:48:31 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x001169Bd0011Ed86ED42908D04d67F9858E98D5e
Tx: 0x004a001657e13f1c51423937a79551b1b923dbe327c5ba6f0cbb63e5c2b945b2
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:48:31 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Tx: 0x0044005b60a20188ccf00759d59d86b02cc999696b9d174a68c312f89b1d684b