Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 12:36:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 12:36:00 A.M. to 07/20/2026, 12:37:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 104,655.77
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
15,271.2 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0026728681761aA57855B22FB6De4F3477Ce4FD9.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 15271 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0026728681761aA57855B22FB6De4F3477Ce4FD9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 12:36:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
104,655.77 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0026728681761aA57855B22FB6De4F3477Ce4FD9
Net sender
Unknown type
31,227.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0010dC8eb87AF4AC2FBcEba023af11b83de4e243
Net sender
Unknown type
24,141.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00527fC92135AC45e36261b062899736B7DF4BC8
Net sender
Unknown type
18,040.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
Net sender
Unknown type
16,895.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 104,655.77 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
15,271.2 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:36:15 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:35:15 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate7 tx
104,655.77 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:37:15 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:34:15 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:38:15 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
5,000 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:33:15 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:39:15 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
79,147.33 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:32:15 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
31,227.6 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:36:47 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0026728681761aA57855B22FB6De4F3477Ce4FD9
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
4,999.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:36:47 A.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004b002f6f7015527d9c5b91a3406693448f5c52f3f0a56ceb756a6e47fc700a
2,479.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:36:47 A.M.
From: 0x001195110eEF010e08defc2b86069Efb86fb5Cb1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00530021ffb690502b5f6fff13338a82b2369ced70fd4b7b3cbed52b98e92db3
24,141.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:36:47 A.M.
From: 0x0010dC8eb87AF4AC2FBcEba023af11b83de4e243
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005e0053a27a26cce257d08ee0e305acfe8dcd55d2bc2552950aa881d953f697
31,227.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:36:47 A.M.
From: 0x0026728681761aA57855B22FB6De4F3477Ce4FD9
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006c003e8b7c02bb598f2f4be10ecbea040219063d99163a183d4062716a27f4
6,872.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:36:47 A.M.
From: 0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003b0076d27108e0062e28999b3e419967baf8073e900e9a11ef829e9643ab5f
16,895.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:36:47 A.M.
From: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d0057f3ec16d2e85add3622dbd2c92addf3fd54070f555c336fe106fd500b
18,040.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:36:47 A.M.
From: 0x00527fC92135AC45e36261b062899736B7DF4BC8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0018003623dba37be1127168c5a69b00f4cc5440ba0fa3518db0b6e4e82a7a1c