Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 12:31:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 12:31:00 A.M. to 07/20/2026, 12:32:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 62,251.35
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
1.3x above local average
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
18,040.38 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0026728681761aA57855B22FB6De4F3477Ce4FD9.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 18040 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0026728681761aA57855B22FB6De4F3477Ce4FD9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 12:31:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
31,237.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0026728681761aA57855B22FB6De4F3477Ce4FD9
Net receiver
Unknown type
31,237.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net sender
Unknown type
31,013.98 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0010dC8eb87AF4AC2FBcEba023af11b83de4e243
Net receiver
Unknown type
24,141.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,872.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 31,237.38 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
18,040.38 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:31:15 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:30:15 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
79,147.33 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:32:15 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
70.58 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:29:15 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
5,000 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:33:15 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
5,181.47 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:27:56 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:34:15 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:35:15 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
31,237.38 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:31:38 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0026728681761aA57855B22FB6De4F3477Ce4FD9
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
24,141.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:31:49 A.M.
From: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
To: 0x0010dC8eb87AF4AC2FBcEba023af11b83de4e243
Tx: 0x002d007ec7b07a0fd341cff3f8a5db36246cb17d766204b45e1626e48ad5fe86
31,237.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:31:38 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0026728681761aA57855B22FB6De4F3477Ce4FD9
Tx: 0x003f00121e23a8cca7fa4e8431be5d5952a0377b3729e9c232e7e142399b69c0
6,872.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:31:24 A.M.
From: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
To: 0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
Tx: 0x005a000283ef0fb9f77555bf30999aab83f8c97ec0519ae884f0288cd3ac8659