Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 11:26:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 11:26:00 P.M. to 07/19/2026, 11:27:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 81,307.76
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
1.3x previous minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
29,785.69 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 29786 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 11:26:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
51,309.6 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Balanced
Unknown type
39,997.78 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00423Cd3e536DB52995c764D6Ced35F949DAFE84
Net sender
Unknown type
21,524.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
Net sender
Unknown type
9,999.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 41,522.94 QUAI
From exchange: 9,786.66 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate2 tx
29,785.69 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:26:23 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
22,761.72 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:25:23 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
21,596.27 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:24:23 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:28:23 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
28,547.88 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:23:05 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1.95 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:29:23 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
9,999.69 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:22:13 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:21:13 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
21,524.19 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 11:26:45 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00423Cd3e536DB52995c764D6Ced35F949DAFE84
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
9,999.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 11:26:52 P.M.
From: 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x00680078fa7fcd87c5361869e5334e7c5b3289c41b84c125ad8f644f0495a3de
21,524.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 11:26:45 P.M.
From: 0x00423Cd3e536DB52995c764D6Ced35F949DAFE84
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00710053edbb6d76fc239eef42b2aad2db72a916d4c1314b39bb27c7bfa822fc
19,998.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 11:26:45 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0074002229e20f314529f2c4a31f27b14477c76f7bf184161ee9f311ce75502d
19,999.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 11:26:07 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x00460008e55da8fae158e5d1fd8a9adf6f433ae3c0ef306f8a6dc0cf16fc488a
9,786.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 11:26:03 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Tx: 0x003b005619162cd9e88b5652ade16982b640e325d6f6dae08e569fdd17f02a98