Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 11:08:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 11:08:00 P.M. to 07/19/2026, 11:09:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
56% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 53,086.8
Unexplained QUAI: 41,683.21
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume
Relative context
3.5x above local average
2.5x previous minute
1.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
94,770.01 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005b83D553Ff13823F5A1643fc05BDf407af0d5B.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 94770 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005b83D553Ff13823F5A1643fc05BDf407af0d5B.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 11:08:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (44% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (56%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
43,088.45 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x005b83D553Ff13823F5A1643fc05BDf407af0d5B
Net sender
Unknown type
23,089.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
Net sender
Unknown type
9,998.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,998.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 43,088.45 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate2 tx
94,770.01 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:08:13 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
37,502.98 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:07:13 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
53,086.8 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:09:13 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
27,779.07 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:06:13 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
4,703.36 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:10:13 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:05:13 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:11:13 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:04:13 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
23,089.71 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 11:08:14 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005b83D553Ff13823F5A1643fc05BDf407af0d5B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
9,998.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 11:08:57 P.M.
From: 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00660052845d04c0490d2c3de9b5ef80d18687ed36bd6452d15cf8516162072d
23,089.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 11:08:14 P.M.
From: 0x005b83D553Ff13823F5A1643fc05BDf407af0d5B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0061006765ba49689f17508825469d8d2835a579613dc9129873ac49a174f7d6
19,998.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 11:08:14 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006f0007ab3549296670973d9468c2f9f3bfe4b42ae8e3479bdfc3ae272fe8a2