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Spike bucket

07/19/2026, 10:57:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/19/2026, 10:57:00 P.M. to 07/19/2026, 10:58:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

98% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 46,350.27

Unexplained QUAI: 1,000

Facts

Pattern: Mixed spike

Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume

Relative context

2.7x above local average

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.

No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

80.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

47,350.27 QUAI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.

Dominant behavior: distribution

distribution + medium confidence + 47350 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 50

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 07/19/2026, 10:57:00 P.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (distribution).
Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet

Net receiver

Exchange

46,350.27 QUAI across 4 visible rows

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164

Net sender

Unknown type

19,999.71 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304

Net sender

Unknown type

19,999.71 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x005DE04b9687ca5cDF83d41D728881D6dbd5f13E

Net sender

Unknown type

4,320.87 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0016F5bDeF26D68eF1DD175F444Cd5378FE05F8C

Net sender

Unknown type

2,029.97 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 46,350.27 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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4 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 5. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.