Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 10:42:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 10:42:00 P.M. to 07/19/2026, 10:43:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 30,395.21
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
1.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
30,395.21 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 30395 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 10:42:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
Net sender
Unknown type
9,397.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,397.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002896BfB4CA4d5C17330fcC5621f3E3ABc31A94
Net receiver
Unknown type
999 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
67 tx
39,551.42 QUAI • 82 addresses
07/19/2026, 10:41:49 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
30,395.21 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/19/2026, 10:43:14 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
3,391.62 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/19/2026, 10:44:13 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
24,600 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/19/2026, 10:45:13 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate27 tx
64,019.64 QUAI • 37 addresses
07/19/2026, 10:46:13 P.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/19/2026, 10:47:13 P.M.
+6 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/19/2026, 10:48:13 P.M.
+7 min
1 tx
9,998.32 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/19/2026, 10:49:13 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.02 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 10:42:30 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
398 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 10:42:42 P.M.
From: 0x0055A8Fe2D3765ecd9CDFb9b55cbe0D810960403
To: 0x002896BfB4CA4d5C17330fcC5621f3E3ABc31A94
Tx: 0x0028005e213b3cb8628e16cf859d923c87a192eb090edbd1c79d1faa90603a2a
9,397.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 10:42:42 P.M.
From: 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x003d004e63571ef2d81534a4bb77aa12165e8efb981c46c36fba7a4702b11c5b
19,999.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 10:42:30 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x004000621656fabb06ba77fb588e69c65ecdb6ba6a68b33478bdaf706b937b3e
601 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 10:42:30 P.M.
From: 0x00120725987C0302eC7551d33f96B283c5c6A8A7
To: 0x002896BfB4CA4d5C17330fcC5621f3E3ABc31A94
Tx: 0x004e002315b29c03d46d1e88963b2a04053963b73e6305fda7733d67b5147653