Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 5:03:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 5:03:00 P.M. to 07/19/2026, 5:04:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 69,702.07
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 315.09
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 70% of explained volume
Relative context
4.6x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
49,702.86 QUAI
315.09 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 49703 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 5:03:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
49,702.86 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net sender
Unknown type
48,522.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Net sender
Unknown type
1,180.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 49,702.86 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 5:02:40 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/19/2026, 5:01:40 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
49,702.86 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/19/2026, 5:03:40 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/19/2026, 5:00:40 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
19,999.21 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/19/2026, 5:04:40 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
16,682.26 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:59:40 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/19/2026, 5:05:40 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:58:40 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
48,522.09 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 5:03:30 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
19,999.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 5:03:51 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x00090032e4f53f1160a57a3b0b5aad60d306198015751e68a7bb63f3dc8afc74
48,522.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 5:03:30 P.M.
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0024005935fc65eb8fd07aa7cc6602618478abd4db6fb97bc6b7e92d5284cd11
1,180.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 5:03:30 P.M.
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b00296d3898f0bcf3ba7e17569386b74e84e0bf867bffdeae58782761f844
315.09 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 5:03:04 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0009007b5a56f03b50db4fd7331b8174f541462562c20c6d200040d3d39dcfe9