Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 4:53:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 4:53:00 P.M. to 07/19/2026, 4:54:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
39% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,495.3
Unexplained QUAI: 16,706.27
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
1.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
4
80.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
27,201.57 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007236af6F39e66051B713Fe45EE9e07d7b979Cd • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 27202 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007236af6F39e66051B713Fe45EE9e07d7b979Cd • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x000622F8424BD1f32c797557D5d4EB6B9eD99aca (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 4:53:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (61% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (39%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007236af6F39e66051B713Fe45EE9e07d7b979Cd
Net sender
Unknown type
10,258.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,258.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
236.34 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x000622F8424BD1f32c797557D5d4EB6B9eD99aca
Net receiver
Unknown type
236.34 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x000622F8424BD1f32c797557D5d4EB6B9eD99aca
3 repeated flows • 236.34 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
10,158.95 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:52:40 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
17,726.81 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:51:40 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
27,201.57 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:53:40 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
239.62 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:50:40 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
6,460.5 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:54:40 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
79.87 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:49:39 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate3 tx
33,101.45 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:55:40 P.M.
-4 min
6 tx
15,432.75 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:48:40 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,258.95 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:53:22 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007236af6F39e66051B713Fe45EE9e07d7b979Cd
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
78.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:53:46 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x000622F8424BD1f32c797557D5d4EB6B9eD99aca
Tx: 0x007b00208712ca00afc006f91726c127cd1acc4ab308f5161f00e52fd844ebde
78.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:53:30 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x000622F8424BD1f32c797557D5d4EB6B9eD99aca
Tx: 0x000b0062bf1227f4f6dc024a43ee5f8b39a88cc7622fdd532053745abad461da
78.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:53:22 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x000622F8424BD1f32c797557D5d4EB6B9eD99aca
Tx: 0x0022000e062591a5453bfdc86376a602b016be29b29720c6f840b0f593ef77bf
10,258.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:53:22 P.M.
From: 0x007236af6F39e66051B713Fe45EE9e07d7b979Cd
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x00500031c2246aa127a7c943fd405a5815a706a91819b64953856db729b753bd