Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 4:50:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 4:50:00 P.M. to 07/19/2026, 4:51:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 17,806.68
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 319.61
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
239.62 QUAI
319.61 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 240 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x000622F8424BD1f32c797557D5d4EB6B9eD99aca (4 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 4:50:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
Net sender
Unknown type
17,487.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
17,487.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
319.49 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x000622F8424BD1f32c797557D5d4EB6B9eD99aca
Net receiver
Unknown type
319.49 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x000622F8424BD1f32c797557D5d4EB6B9eD99aca
4 repeated flows • 319.49 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
79.87 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:49:39 P.M.
-1 min
6 tx
15,432.75 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:48:40 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
239.62 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:50:40 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate2 tx
18,076.9 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:47:40 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
17,726.81 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:51:40 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
228.64 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:46:40 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
10,158.95 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:52:40 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
76.69 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:45:40 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
17,487.19 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:50:52 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
79.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:50:59 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x000622F8424BD1f32c797557D5d4EB6B9eD99aca
Tx: 0x004e002af6b3c52019827ceacefa3d45e2a852a1310ab29cda367f273025aef2
17,487.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:50:52 P.M.
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x003b00356b158ef909edc7b7dc657a7785e70923730fe587db5a957d4c79c138
79.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:50:41 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x000622F8424BD1f32c797557D5d4EB6B9eD99aca
Tx: 0x0029004d55eb656bb35752ed5ace77eabbb32c5ed9f8cea6bf6eb5809b56b8d0
79.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:50:28 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x000622F8424BD1f32c797557D5d4EB6B9eD99aca
Tx: 0x00510020d6dc5149e057fb53dc23413ac151f74d2d21870f9aca3b7ccc75370a
79.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:50:16 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x000622F8424BD1f32c797557D5d4EB6B9eD99aca
Tx: 0x00080054d9d44d60acd990a8ed630f749c0c39fd79362263af0bd003553fa70d