Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 4:48:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 4:48:00 P.M. to 07/19/2026, 4:49:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
33% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,079.87
Unexplained QUAI: 10,352.88
Explained QI: 320.39
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
3.6x above local average
67x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
3
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
15,432.75 QUAI
320.39 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 15433 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 4:48:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (67% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (33%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
320.39 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
320.39 QI across 1 visible row
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
79.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate2 tx
18,076.9 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:47:40 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
228.64 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:46:40 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
15,432.75 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:48:40 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
76.69 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:45:40 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
79.87 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:49:39 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
231.09 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:44:40 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
239.62 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:50:40 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
77.6 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:43:40 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:48:08 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
320.39 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:48:30 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x001e0026d014bf0eddf1745d1a0bad56adbc295a4b21a752a2e7fde608d05155
79.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:48:23 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x000622F8424BD1f32c797557D5d4EB6B9eD99aca
Tx: 0x001e00005d624a3563fa8395f7322ef14a5ae2b01fa1cb31a1dba62086735d15
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:48:08 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Tx: 0x0003002e4239eae34ebdbdecef1aea69ac6424112b3e12748a2efb20e354226b