Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 4:47:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 4:47:00 P.M. to 07/19/2026, 4:48:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 28,429.78
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
3.3x above local average
236x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
18,076.9 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 18077 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA.
0x00786CADCfBed000701583b02E74fd4102e9baB6 -> 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 4:47:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
16,707.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Net receiver
Unknown type
16,707.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c5eA4665Ebf4eB16aD69cF915DE9E8ebffE51
Net sender
Unknown type
10,259.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007236af6F39e66051B713Fe45EE9e07d7b979Cd
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,259.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00786CADCfBed000701583b02E74fd4102e9baB6
Net sender
Unknown type
1,382.71 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00786CADCfBed000701583b02E74fd4102e9baB6 → 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
2 repeated flows • 1,382.71 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 16,707.26 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
228.64 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:46:40 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
76.69 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:45:40 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
18,076.9 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:47:40 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
231.09 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:44:40 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
15,432.75 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:48:40 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
77.6 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:43:40 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
79.87 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:49:39 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
10,154.4 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:42:40 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
16,707.26 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:47:10 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
10,259.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:47:51 P.M.
From: 0x004c5eA4665Ebf4eB16aD69cF915DE9E8ebffE51
To: 0x007236af6F39e66051B713Fe45EE9e07d7b979Cd
Tx: 0x006a00489c2bd4b404eae1133fdfe621bd8cf8d317990d7ac75021d3e095cbc8
13.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:47:51 P.M.
From: 0x00786CADCfBed000701583b02E74fd4102e9baB6
To: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Tx: 0x001200362e2bf31faed9ea8c4fef627aaddff8689d8004792d7906373ec696ef
79.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:47:51 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x000622F8424BD1f32c797557D5d4EB6B9eD99aca
Tx: 0x007d00665730f5572791c135559b7a86a9a1f15331671a7a610711aaee060707
16,707.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:47:10 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Tx: 0x00030033a911b8f73362ebec2c0d271cda401bc299776b07e0bb6adfd0b41bda
1,369.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:47:10 P.M.
From: 0x00786CADCfBed000701583b02E74fd4102e9baB6
To: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Tx: 0x00300002dd7a0bed80d17cb0c48639d0622dc7b05d16d42607617353d1f9ce16