Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 4:40:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 4:40:00 P.M. to 07/19/2026, 4:41:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 156.21
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
156.21 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x00786CADCfBed000701583b02E74fd4102e9baB6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 156 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x00786CADCfBed000701583b02E74fd4102e9baB6.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x00786CADCfBed000701583b02E74fd4102e9baB6 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 4:40:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
156.21 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00786CADCfBed000701583b02E74fd4102e9baB6
Net receiver
Unknown type
156.21 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x00786CADCfBed000701583b02E74fd4102e9baB6
2 repeated flows • 156.21 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
3,365.77 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:39:40 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:38:40 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
156.21 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:40:40 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
16,396.1 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:37:40 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
78.08 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:41:40 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:36:40 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
10,154.4 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:42:40 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate4 tx
25,586.84 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:35:40 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
78.13 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:40:05 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00786CADCfBed000701583b02E74fd4102e9baB6
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
78.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:40:57 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00786CADCfBed000701583b02E74fd4102e9baB6
Tx: 0x001900277893b688548658bd0a9b995e7495eec2041b0c3e0271d195987b5938
78.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:40:05 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00786CADCfBed000701583b02E74fd4102e9baB6
Tx: 0x0055001a2db3174eba27971a4b539e65fbb7400dfc37e17a27845dcb26b505c4