Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 4:18:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 4:18:00 P.M. to 07/19/2026, 4:19:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 46,846.82
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 336.8
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume
Relative context
6.7x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
12
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
46,846.82 QUAI
336.8 QI
Avg confidence
64.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 46847 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 4:18:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
25,298.9 QUAI across 9 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002e1348FC22fC32fCd7cf87e77EF2BF9698595E
Net sender
Unknown type
3,109.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 25,298.9 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:17:39 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:16:40 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate11 tx
46,846.82 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:18:40 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
2,329.32 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:15:40 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
3.07 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:19:40 P.M.
-3 min
35 tx
6,672.87 QUAI • 49 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:14:40 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:20:39 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/19/2026, 4:13:39 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.2 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:18:10 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
336.8 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:18:49 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007e005d8359eb4dd8d499a63fab4ea425d0a3af85dd382bba9269d212314b4e
1,005.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:18:10 P.M.
From: 0x0064D2dcf1027693B6247AfDA08A0da153d6AdE6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006b00723c8f2c423fc7317ea58aa25df62af2bf7e9716c96d649071a12044d3
408.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:18:10 P.M.
From: 0x0051589c20c542525f2a1c8C9f5d8Bf62f5b16CC
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004b000e71f7a6441cb892bc1b3e6bdfee2ee552b49ee8c655e3d92ac27adc76
3,109.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:18:10 P.M.
From: 0x002e1348FC22fC32fCd7cf87e77EF2BF9698595E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0039003046ae26b5f2e47b14dc7cca4903902feede802ce0ca4c6408ada8bd34
250.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:18:10 P.M.
From: 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b00790b84c06a1b32779585e58b3ba1df552d1d2b12c19a7d986c7b09005d
106.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:18:10 P.M.
From: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0041006778cdc9a88a0b8ade181ee2dd89583a7b72cf773d6a9cdf11cac22bb9
101.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:18:10 P.M.
From: 0x0052Fef2D3E58C9b0543Ba9438D98a8AE5cC723E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0071005845f0e182247f08bd9ae3cfdd704fdd3db8ec6db73524d8ffdfc970b7
217.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:18:10 P.M.
From: 0x004FDE72b734dd6a52DD0F2363cFC75ef35a55AE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00490078bc113ecea54e3b373a94085b78573afaae47aa1c57d29aa2d3cc6e98
99.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:18:10 P.M.
From: 0x0054AC5475929f1c6bAaa2347fD90c2ede8e5174
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a00572750b2c45105d9ebef627ac0e33288da3a2981fff3a8d2add483a90b
19,999.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:18:10 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x0025006ffe314387300ff33168a37bcd933bb0130726ff819226afaa357122ab
19,998.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:18:10 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005d003d4b3e84c2ef979e0ddde6467e8479a3a3ab0424f7cf31610dc0ffddc7
1,548.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 4:18:10 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x0070839018661CCd2da1b54A1ccA7a97515B9824
Tx: 0x00730055ea872b9fa99821fc767514fc67949453d87e20823b23dcfd65545cb5
