Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 3:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 3:38:00 P.M. to 07/19/2026, 3:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,162.37
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 357.93
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
153.85 QUAI
357.93 QI
Avg confidence
67.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 154 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x00402c677E32d67Fb726484Cb1efFcca31f5A9D6 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 3:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
357.94 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
357.94 QI across 1 visible row
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
153.85 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x00402c677E32d67Fb726484Cb1efFcca31f5A9D6
2 repeated flows • 153.85 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
153.85 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:38:27 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
153.81 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:37:26 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate8 tx
20,783.02 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:39:26 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
5,474.34 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:36:27 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:40:27 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
227.24 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:35:26 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:41:27 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
399.29 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:34:26 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.19 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:38:26 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
3.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:38:54 P.M.
From: 0x007510f999E7B68BA84EeC7f9ABC0E3F0547C2BD
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005500406456b9eb6d16b8a9ce07e94bb9400db4a2217b8d48ae1a907016221b
6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:38:54 P.M.
From: 0x00640f915Ad4fd45d88CF25C77E7cF9F121dbDFd
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003e00416a44a455fb0fb1e26c2edc1249ea57dca66a62ce11ed5badb070e6fa
76.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:38:30 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00402c677E32d67Fb726484Cb1efFcca31f5A9D6
Tx: 0x00000010fd2547feca358c9e47fc3907a2e4e5f519794875348111005d79e1e1
19,999.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:38:26 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x007a0066adad880daef94cb830fe2aa7f2f7f0fa4d9c8b238c273df212614a71
357.93 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:38:11 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00680011b0af9c8b348332ef3e888eaafcd5c0540f9444616bc4cc9add40b078
76.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:38:05 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00402c677E32d67Fb726484Cb1efFcca31f5A9D6
Tx: 0x005b001733ba9ad0abbf043ad1324093920ee1330b7c15c816d46b5e6d17b30a