Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 3:25:00 P.M. to 07/19/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
67% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,729.96
Unexplained QUAI: 2,856.39
Explained QI: 364.47
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 12% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.4x previous minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
14
Observable rows
10
71.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
8,586.34 QUAI
364.47 QI
Avg confidence
65.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x000cA0D442B4f8ADD2c63b6A1f15cf7e78CE8E5B.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 8586 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x000cA0D442B4f8ADD2c63b6A1f15cf7e78CE8E5B.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (33% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
5,729.96 QUAI across 9 visible rows
Known watch context
0x000cA0D442B4f8ADD2c63b6A1f15cf7e78CE8E5B
Net sender
Unknown type
713.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
Net sender
Unknown type
673.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A
Net sender
Unknown type
673.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003BdABB9346516e60d508C7116B498172Fe92F7
Net sender
Unknown type
662.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 5,729.96 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
14 tx
8,586.34 QUAI • 28 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:25:27 P.M.
-1 min
20 tx
23,905.14 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:24:26 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:26:27 P.M.
-2 min
15 tx
37,665.25 QUAI • 28 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:23:26 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:27:26 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate17 tx
464,665.44 QUAI • 30 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:22:27 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
7,666 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:28:26 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:21:27 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
713.55 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:25:05 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000cA0D442B4f8ADD2c63b6A1f15cf7e78CE8E5B
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
364.47 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:25:42 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00700065217117a195f858f832460a19549110ab9006437090cd883492ed93d9
713.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:25:05 P.M.
From: 0x000cA0D442B4f8ADD2c63b6A1f15cf7e78CE8E5B
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d0002b76916665b05b10e42112813e8300be81ad6617335d1209ca5e9ab16
662.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:25:05 P.M.
From: 0x003BdABB9346516e60d508C7116B498172Fe92F7
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00660014cb900943a19d9b9b804b2419213bbcd720f4b5be48df192aab0ec8b9
615.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:25:05 P.M.
From: 0x00239812dAd1583Bf5C81326E3448F273f6628f2
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0060000d13ec6a15107ac3e0c3ec63fe55c62d40c1fef9e783ff5444dcc3d27a
596.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:25:05 P.M.
From: 0x000431e64aa6008591d75B65583d646Ecd5C911a
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0042007778b2449563d76153ab254c8a0ba8ac92d0faac3cd708285a9607f024
673.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:25:05 P.M.
From: 0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004c007028627f7ca47c0ea0583b7784785ef07520c0cda91e93399a100d2c5c
595.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:25:05 P.M.
From: 0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006f007bc1e5a37777d80d4f071c4bcbfa777ece1d03efacdcaadf98615f8622
594.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:25:05 P.M.
From: 0x001028dcdCB3AC9C09F392c790de8Aa31c12459b
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0020004adaeb5b3230a592f873489b76f700a3ebf44c1e2808934af9295605bb
604.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:25:05 P.M.
From: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000e006f63b18c64ae773aaeca8f8131d9c99db2038d5fc0c54274e6ffe06582
673.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:25:05 P.M.
From: 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d000264480e2465731425f891cf2965a2f309e12fe5cb7f415ba34ae5bf37