Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 3:24:00 P.M. to 07/19/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
32% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,691.66
Unexplained QUAI: 16,213.48
Explained QI: 365.16
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 11% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.6x previous minute
2.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
20
Observable rows
11
55.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
23,905.14 QUAI
365.16 QI
Avg confidence
64.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x001CC38277169d97F3751721Abf7e2AA18D76715.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 23905 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x001CC38277169d97F3751721Abf7e2AA18D76715.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (68% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (32%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
7,691.66 QUAI across 10 visible rows
Known watch context
0x001CC38277169d97F3751721Abf7e2AA18D76715
Net sender
Unknown type
846.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
Net sender
Unknown type
841.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00107d12a17dF9f0d5816C0A3CD28C1EBb96e39c
Net sender
Unknown type
839.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005453C6f1408B5899c20D3fb1b05D89333aBeAE
Net sender
Unknown type
802.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 7,691.66 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
20 tx
23,905.14 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:24:26 P.M.
-1 min
15 tx
37,665.25 QUAI • 28 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:23:26 P.M.
+1 min
14 tx
8,586.34 QUAI • 28 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:25:27 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate17 tx
464,665.44 QUAI • 30 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:22:27 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:26:27 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:21:27 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:27:26 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:20:26 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
846.84 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:24:18 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001CC38277169d97F3751721Abf7e2AA18D76715
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
365.16 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:24:29 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0064001db0b55c21b78b37200cc12e5642e68b2eaf0aec3b6189e3194373c2ca
758.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:24:29 P.M.
From: 0x005a0701d5111De546C5614A04C8eA96EB2CCA0D
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0012005249a18df2602f6f7a0450786184a61f72ee2176b967f3de5e1f60b42c
726.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:24:29 P.M.
From: 0x00410B28f7f1Ec1b834612bfc5923Cbfa01177F8
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0033000c0b7aceff27737be4e3bf2946ddb19124037eea2ff51e0e731926dd68
675.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:24:29 P.M.
From: 0x002773d48b4A834547e1339Aede3B9878b8F765D
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0032006c38406ff5f9ee6cbb3cd6d2b6e18f20e2991a27d57594f20f205c086e
695.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:24:29 P.M.
From: 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0007003677b3b9e1bf679b055f7ffbd89c6dd7b7c524589cb05b8f34dbe77880
841.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:24:18 P.M.
From: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0002001ba36417761d4a7536cd2568b703c13473f28883c4442a11a3879a1d39
769.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:24:18 P.M.
From: 0x007F95f6B1De175cf3ab31eDD47C98CC5dDB3cC4
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00630006b192275f2e0bde8a518f7924e0fc0d36fade5a7e4f7c6fdcc977de26
839.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:24:18 P.M.
From: 0x00107d12a17dF9f0d5816C0A3CD28C1EBb96e39c
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003600195dd84fcb8de35f0aa940527915d5262f204b1ded44f1288df23281b0
735.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:24:18 P.M.
From: 0x007D573b4c5755EE22648833FB7DE703d90D7B05
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007b000967773014d83ef00d6d60f0f758aaf1400a4cd2b3081379af47192024
846.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:24:18 P.M.
From: 0x001CC38277169d97F3751721Abf7e2AA18D76715
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00620079b80d212e6b42fab615c263672d706d8d95ec17c897166d92d2ee7b01
802.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:24:08 P.M.
From: 0x005453C6f1408B5899c20D3fb1b05D89333aBeAE
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005e00126a0d89ada467ffe9249c57fb9153ea3542f508673a641b2e5f866184