Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 3:22:00 P.M. to 07/19/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
15% coverage
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 71,484.87
Unexplained QUAI: 393,180.57
Explained QI: 366.42
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 20% of explained volume
Relative context
7.0x above local average
12x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
17
Observable rows
12
70.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
464,665.44 QUAI
366.42 QI
Avg confidence
64.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00623f55F93c9D44e3793Bde2C3E87fc5D97cC64.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 464665 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 38
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00623f55F93c9D44e3793Bde2C3E87fc5D97cC64.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (85% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (15%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
71,484.87 QUAI across 11 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00623f55F93c9D44e3793Bde2C3E87fc5D97cC64
Net sender
Unknown type
14,607.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0016C547CE6bcc6AD621292aaFceC8c037a60e69
Net sender
Unknown type
9,999.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006031585cAa4C5B29f6d6C8F818d633Ee083bDC
Net sender
Unknown type
9,899.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0026711bA2F207287A7865Bb34ffEd0776D2Ef71
Net sender
Unknown type
8,724.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 71,484.87 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate17 tx
464,665.44 QUAI • 30 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:22:27 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:21:27 P.M.
+1 min
15 tx
37,665.25 QUAI • 28 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:23:26 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:20:26 P.M.
+2 min
20 tx
23,905.14 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:24:26 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
11.31 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:19:26 P.M.
+3 min
14 tx
8,586.34 QUAI • 28 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:25:27 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:18:26 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
14,607.47 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:22:16 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00623f55F93c9D44e3793Bde2C3E87fc5D97cC64
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
3,034.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:22:26 P.M.
From: 0x0072818F7cf7dB8DbBDF8e955FABaE6dBBD3b7ca
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0035000e2f6b79dfd87ca9ae0ef2d683303d37e811de82948fcdb9add973ab3b
3,207.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:22:26 P.M.
From: 0x0066CF8b9F08Ec87d9b5D11D1b301732D49E78eE
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00650075d53e0b3daa5ccec776992edace463cd939ad20466cbe575e56504ce5
3,182.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:22:26 P.M.
From: 0x005A52BA6D0dEc9631A7Ac0Dc5bc77dd98261275
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d005a10ac24764951e78038f6d9c4794ca8ce3a37540a527516197da57d51
8,724.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:22:16 P.M.
From: 0x0026711bA2F207287A7865Bb34ffEd0776D2Ef71
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0007006a307abf7971d2417e5c754c7b7dbb976e8e0bbf42aad902c4934c1605
9,999.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:22:16 P.M.
From: 0x0016C547CE6bcc6AD621292aaFceC8c037a60e69
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0017006eaca54c993e0e3df2a56843655b7b99ce880d0fc72ae379b1eb319053
9,899.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:22:16 P.M.
From: 0x006031585cAa4C5B29f6d6C8F818d633Ee083bDC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005d0011197a22687b7eed80b3dae7d562a0441fe2281cd07e44bc8e67de5853
14,607.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:22:16 P.M.
From: 0x00623f55F93c9D44e3793Bde2C3E87fc5D97cC64
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0012000270b8a49556f4cafa801198b9cde87f4a13cf4d340d2c2b4715027ea4
5,940.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:22:16 P.M.
From: 0x001169Bd0011Ed86ED42908D04d67F9858E98D5e
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007100091baa80411ca027a1e76c79efa7fe9ea7c8910f14c7ef332265a294a4
4,032.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:22:16 P.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x0043fa720C12bEAF9c6EC7Bb3Ef0FBCddC0424B0
Miner wallet
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005d0070aa0845045065df49a22e9400f01e577cfd4adb73f13d37c674e21c78
5,124.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:22:16 P.M.
From: 0x00317b655B2F755eF6Ae41F8A290B2d1A59ADb07
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00610062bb3b9d6e4e8a2d6525d7ea907e071ccac5a8a502f845569493bba964
3,731.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:22:16 P.M.
From: 0x001Ca6E57B29399995673dEa29ecCCa67FA006eB
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e0048732c67a3c31f604a12e0bd83b81e2e0666feb5977a2e74c72ad6cc01
366.42 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:22:13 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004c000aa8da3a6cef3e97a0d6fb9bc7691013ea363764ce11b37d516870ff88
