Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 3:21:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 3:21:00 P.M. to 07/19/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 402,606.21
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 367.5
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 35% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
0 QUAI
367.5 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 3:21:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
402,606.21 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
Net sender
Unknown type
140,835.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net sender
Unknown type
120,202.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net sender
Unknown type
42,763.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00690166E86cB4C058712b1fB7A54eFb2e754A76
Net sender
Unknown type
23,262.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 402,606.21 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:21:27 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:20:26 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate17 tx
464,665.44 QUAI • 30 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:22:27 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
11.31 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:19:26 P.M.
+2 min
15 tx
37,665.25 QUAI • 28 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:23:26 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:18:26 P.M.
+3 min
20 tx
23,905.14 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:24:26 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
429.15 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:17:26 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
140,835.59 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:21:25 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
15,399.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:21:54 P.M.
From: 0x0006A3DBb4E01c9e6C9209Bf7769CfDe6A6747dC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000800130e94ac3d5f1239be424ae2f755204f4aa185cc4af1beb701d4cd2332
19,999.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:21:39 P.M.
From: 0x007813a4b515c47C1058E8455D319840A18d60f6
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003300116b573458274dbcb0b9f50033c76d9f60218085238c41f1243335200f
20,446.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:21:39 P.M.
From: 0x001fA41e4341376689035608ef23b42F1521B241
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0067002c2eef7ee2f05f30a28e7ad4b441b1a3f9a421f98dbdb61ccdac19cc2c
19,696.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:21:39 P.M.
From: 0x006885852A69BD92Da077880f6c508d5d2765E85
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00190003e5f50209fb9a80bdb6a23febad4f863323b3f0e58c35b8aab05a088c
23,262.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:21:25 P.M.
From: 0x00690166E86cB4C058712b1fB7A54eFb2e754A76
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00300002ac907f506d3254d116d86a1c88c8aa1b79b73c9d955e97dc291b51c4
42,763.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:21:25 P.M.
From: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0063007150a20bb9cfe07148d583b82dadf7f4e9358bae8351124d112e928a9e
120,202.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:21:25 P.M.
From: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0018005e3e221e85510769a9c2f510b1c34620491b4024af829e9b705993ed22
140,835.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:21:25 P.M.
From: 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00340039e5c861e562783b6e89f3958fa675ffe33dfdede88a8d9fa58dbd96b6
