Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 3:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 3:17:00 P.M. to 07/19/2026, 3:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 429.15
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 369.76
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.4x previous minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
429.15 QUAI
369.76 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 429 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 3:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
429.15 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
369.76 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
369.76 QI across 1 visible row
0x002968aA476B53587A7b734f6265Fa01cfe8FF5d
Net sender
Unknown type
205.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Net sender
Unknown type
121.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 429.15 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
429.15 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:17:26 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
1,000 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:16:26 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:18:26 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:15:26 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
11.31 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:19:26 P.M.
-3 min
34 tx
1,484.39 QUAI • 48 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:14:27 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:20:26 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate53 tx
2,136.28 QUAI • 66 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:13:27 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
369.76 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:17:34 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
369.76 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:17:34 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00180002420a02e0ad8c742086f7c58b98c01b81fc8618985727b5f75b43bd15
205.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:17:15 P.M.
From: 0x002968aA476B53587A7b734f6265Fa01cfe8FF5d
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001000317afa219fbfacd58b6389a2dda9465eeb10af83dde2a641ecc932cc02
121.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:17:15 P.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0038003f6e606eff820cbaff13c25e633f7ad91839561d13e17d72a73441b798
101.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:17:15 P.M.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f002d83e56cfbfe1696479c03e178c7e9411fd4b01b5a59cd5c597271f1ce
