Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 2:58:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 2:58:00 P.M. to 07/19/2026, 2:59:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 14,953.99
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 374.9
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
8.0x above local average
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
14,953.99 QUAI
374.9 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x0070839018661CCd2da1b54A1ccA7a97515B9824.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 14954 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x0070839018661CCd2da1b54A1ccA7a97515B9824.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 2:58:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net sender
Unknown type
9,954.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0070839018661CCd2da1b54A1ccA7a97515B9824
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,954.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,999.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
374.91 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,999.41 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
14,953.99 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/19/2026, 2:58:18 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/19/2026, 2:57:18 P.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/19/2026, 2:59:18 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/19/2026, 2:56:18 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:00:18 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/19/2026, 2:55:18 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:01:18 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/19/2026, 2:54:18 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,954.58 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 2:58:02 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x0070839018661CCd2da1b54A1ccA7a97515B9824
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
374.9 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 2:58:16 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0005005c09f7de3532fa6bf6aa3fe6dee560054d1ff73f86f9e567062a2196e3
9,954.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 2:58:02 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x0070839018661CCd2da1b54A1ccA7a97515B9824
Tx: 0x00640026d62ad45f6d3b1059b4befbf6a44599e7104d86242625c6701eb39cc5
4,999.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 2:58:02 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00050065b9b6347d1c0212035afd16e59167d73ea3c73d912b7cdf999389f1e4