Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 12:15:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 12:15:00 P.M. to 07/19/2026, 12:16:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,343.26
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 416.61
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
0 QUAI
416.61 QI
Avg confidence
68.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 12:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,343.26 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
416.61 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
416.61 QI across 1 visible row
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
125.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,343.26 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
25 tx
1,216.42 QUAI • 37 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:14:22 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
20,343.26 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:16:22 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
100 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:13:22 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:17:22 P.M.
-3 min
53 tx
813.88 QUAI • 65 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:12:22 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:18:22 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
19,999.16 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:11:22 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
191.67 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:19:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.48 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 12:15:38 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
19,998.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 12:15:38 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001d004076f0cc82280eba22ff20635719680a836aa402adf7d3e89ceffaf872
102.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 12:15:38 P.M.
From: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0051000b59bd840caed623737f7d219f62e4146eb04387c57f4fc33aeeffafba
116.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 12:15:38 P.M.
From: 0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0019005ad37bb3cf797beb016758750bb01da5c2a343c9c33d6b876acd645443
125.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 12:15:38 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003b00168de26b195c94c035ee18931ed4ad0da6b2ffedb9b967e6d07290de1e
416.61 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 12:15:21 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000e007a2ed1c409831ac1affc48737e14d59302e4ce1ad56a0254b94d688ffa