Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 12:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 12:10:00 P.M. to 07/19/2026, 12:11:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
16% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 52.82
Unexplained QUAI: 269.27
Explained QI: 833.11
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.2x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
322.09 QUAI
833.11 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 322 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 12:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (84% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (16%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
833.12 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
833.12 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
52.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000C7d44853CFA0eDe38668f814fdbc2354793cC
Net receiver
Unknown type
52.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 833.11 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
322.09 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:10:22 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
1,941.06 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:09:22 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
19,999.16 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:11:22 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:08:22 P.M.
+2 min
53 tx
813.88 QUAI • 65 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:12:22 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:07:22 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
100 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:13:22 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:06:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
416.89 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 12:10:45 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
416.89 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 12:10:45 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0021000a3fb629702d4b0db5e9ae7bff08a3b6d63fed5ebc2b2825cf8e2622dd
52.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 12:10:09 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x000C7d44853CFA0eDe38668f814fdbc2354793cC
Tx: 0x0033003361f9a24f4989a174be4e5acf6b90c0e1c4c4a1145a95b532f9adc606
416.22 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 12:10:03 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004b003e4fb1992bded7f30a1515a1fc2dd504bdef4b909aa8e95cbca5e387ec
