Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 12:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 12:09:00 P.M. to 07/19/2026, 12:10:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
56% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,087.94
Unexplained QUAI: 853.12
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 417.17
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 75% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
6.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
1,941.06 QUAI
417.17 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x00051f8702a5c3222D5fEe88298B8Aa1dF85E62D.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1941 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x00051f8702a5c3222D5fEe88298B8Aa1dF85E62D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 12:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (44% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (56%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
1,035.7 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00051f8702a5c3222D5fEe88298B8Aa1dF85E62D
Net receiver
Unknown type
818.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Net receiver
Unknown type
217.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
Net sender
Unknown type
52.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0052E80920fa41D2351f03097811Bb8f1bd73362
Net receiver
Unknown type
52.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
1,941.06 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:09:22 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:08:22 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
322.09 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:10:22 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:07:22 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate2 tx
19,999.16 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:11:22 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:06:22 P.M.
+3 min
53 tx
813.88 QUAI • 65 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:12:22 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:05:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
818.67 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 12:09:17 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x00051f8702a5c3222D5fEe88298B8Aa1dF85E62D
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
217.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 12:09:45 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x006b0018d785c258c1a1784bbff07af98e59cea84e31c63ebb2274b055a469a7
52.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 12:09:30 P.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x0052E80920fa41D2351f03097811Bb8f1bd73362
Tx: 0x006e005a34b745475e5cc14521fd928f4cff5522410049dcfd14595411e99c82
818.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 12:09:17 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x00051f8702a5c3222D5fEe88298B8Aa1dF85E62D
Tx: 0x002600732e467e26a2e46ad791a802a1664bde5f3e09c14cea41c8ddca875274