Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 12:03:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 12:03:00 P.M. to 07/19/2026, 12:04:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15,450.59
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 416.55
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
7.9x above local average
487x previous minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
15,450.59 QUAI
416.55 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005f4e397A2287BA195b116dCc06182EFd58d250.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 15451 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005f4e397A2287BA195b116dCc06182EFd58d250.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 12:03:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
15,450.59 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x005f4e397A2287BA195b116dCc06182EFd58d250
Net sender
Unknown type
7,891.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002F333F4E07c20723a5B9A5e0d937B69F333c74
Net sender
Unknown type
7,559.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
416.55 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
416.55 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 15,450.59 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
15,450.59 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:03:22 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
31.71 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:02:22 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:04:22 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:01:22 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:05:22 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
68.5 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:00:22 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/19/2026, 12:06:22 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:59:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
7,891.27 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 12:03:16 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005f4e397A2287BA195b116dCc06182EFd58d250
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
416.55 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 12:03:46 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x001b000d379b1922083f2eb3cc6f7e07d5757f866b3aa9f8c61478e47454f541
7,891.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 12:03:16 P.M.
From: 0x005f4e397A2287BA195b116dCc06182EFd58d250
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000e0069ae5243aa0379e602eb7dfb57ba948cb4f9d3016cf456d97397fd0b13
7,559.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 12:03:16 P.M.
From: 0x002F333F4E07c20723a5B9A5e0d937B69F333c74
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00360057e36a4cadf99d855286d325924b607b9cab47643b63c169285e8a875b