Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 11:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 11:45:00 A.M. to 07/19/2026, 11:46:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
45% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,985.35
Unexplained QUAI: 11,962.78
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 419.7
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
813x previous minute
2.2x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
21,948.13 QUAI
419.7 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006B40f3213107942C43ca7aE1af2fC4603Ecf21 • 0x006031585cAa4C5B29f6d6C8F818d633Ee083bDC.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 21948 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006B40f3213107942C43ca7aE1af2fC4603Ecf21 • 0x006031585cAa4C5B29f6d6C8F818d633Ee083bDC.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 11:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (55% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (45%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006B40f3213107942C43ca7aE1af2fC4603Ecf21
Net sender
Unknown type
9,958.4 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006031585cAa4C5B29f6d6C8F818d633Ee083bDC
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,900 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Net receiver
Unknown type
58.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0042d6C09D5266729e601F48A4CCd87F20C090B5
Net sender
Unknown type
26.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
26.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
21,948.13 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:45:22 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
27 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:44:22 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
9,985.35 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:46:22 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:43:22 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
19,999.15 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:47:22 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
6,975.38 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:42:22 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
7,572.5 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:48:22 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate2 tx
145,252 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:41:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,900 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 11:45:24 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006B40f3213107942C43ca7aE1af2fC4603Ecf21
To: 0x006031585cAa4C5B29f6d6C8F818d633Ee083bDC
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
9,900 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 11:45:24 A.M.
From: 0x006B40f3213107942C43ca7aE1af2fC4603Ecf21
To: 0x006031585cAa4C5B29f6d6C8F818d633Ee083bDC
Tx: 0x003c007a3a557f8daa04f17f3951f06ad7f7084d8eabb174d9f32c79f3490e48
58.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 11:45:24 A.M.
From: 0x006B40f3213107942C43ca7aE1af2fC4603Ecf21
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x003e004de02639037dc462aaa5f6815091bef30b9a817ed1994324092be0aee6
26.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 11:45:24 A.M.
From: 0x0042d6C09D5266729e601F48A4CCd87F20C090B5
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x004a0061c3ddc90907c51726c7f483582a84346f8b276f24e8900e3ba52708be