Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 11:08:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 11:08:00 A.M. to 07/19/2026, 11:09:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
50% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,325.84
Unexplained QUAI: 8,427.62
Explained QI: 413.63
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
3.0x above local average
2.0x previous minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
2
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
16,753.46 QUAI
413.63 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00227E64859eB65663CC758FB5c31074736F24Ee • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 16753 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00227E64859eB65663CC758FB5c31074736F24Ee • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 11:08:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00227E64859eB65663CC758FB5c31074736F24Ee
Net sender
Unknown type
8,325.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,325.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
413.63 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
413.63 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
16,753.46 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:08:22 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
8,527.62 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:07:22 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:09:22 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:06:22 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:10:22 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:05:22 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
19,999.15 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:11:22 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/19/2026, 11:04:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
8,325.84 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 11:08:19 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00227E64859eB65663CC758FB5c31074736F24Ee
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
8,325.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 11:08:19 A.M.
From: 0x00227E64859eB65663CC758FB5c31074736F24Ee
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x004c005028ca9f04a321935ca0c64bc1f3bc59a4ad8b8774afe400e43ea5019a
413.63 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 11:08:11 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0024005376aaf09a700670e772d3af6fa4c11968f1cc41e0a65f9a2e5cfff144