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Spike bucket

07/19/2026, 11:07:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/19/2026, 11:07:00 A.M. to 07/19/2026, 11:08:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 16,855.24
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
2.7x above local average
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
8,527.62 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 8528 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 11:07:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net sender
Unknown type
8,327.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,327.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00437e195b886178900d9C8e49bc9535408aB9De
Net sender
Unknown type
8,327.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00227E64859eB65663CC758FB5c31074736F24Ee
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,327.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007A7400d10D17D2fB7B6Dc5e72f11eEA616F15b
Net sender
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

8,327.62 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 11:07:54 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD

All transfers in this selected minute

4 transactions
8,327.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 11:07:54 A.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Tx: 0x004c0052fc7670726d21b227f7ea243541459c023d38650df1fcf761ffad61ae
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 11:07:40 A.M.
From: 0x007A7400d10D17D2fB7B6Dc5e72f11eEA616F15b
To: 0x000955960279BD876D0e723F6e46a0A81DDF382a
Tx: 0x006b0038b4e54d2661c025fc19e7391216f1597f814b8b6e2ce01938ffe395c0
8,327.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 11:07:03 A.M.
From: 0x00437e195b886178900d9C8e49bc9535408aB9De
To: 0x00227E64859eB65663CC758FB5c31074736F24Ee
Tx: 0x00180019b340670255b9a92bc2f5ae268e9a2fdba0493c060cef6b4266861a72
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 11:07:03 A.M.
From: 0x007A7400d10D17D2fB7B6Dc5e72f11eEA616F15b
To: 0x00288BBE13f05Caf01D9f89F52a0A2B7FC3FF1f2
Tx: 0x0041003a51b32edfdcbffabbea0a66869c1e02e69a8c34f1fb8be63d7dcf080b