Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 8:52:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 8:52:00 A.M. to 07/19/2026, 8:53:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 18,467.39
Unexplained QUAI: 1.7
Explained QI: 399.31
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
4.1x above local average
2.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
18,469.09 QUAI
399.31 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 18469 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 8:52:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
18,467.39 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,234.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004668E4bA3429aFD233FDb7B0ab04522D2D366
Net sender
Unknown type
9,232.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
399.32 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
399.32 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
18,469.09 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/19/2026, 8:52:22 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/19/2026, 8:51:22 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
9,232.84 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/19/2026, 8:53:22 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
473 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/19/2026, 8:50:22 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/19/2026, 8:54:22 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/19/2026, 8:49:22 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
5,027.74 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/19/2026, 8:55:22 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
3,166.19 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/19/2026, 8:48:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,234.55 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 8:52:19 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
9,232.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 8:52:49 A.M.
From: 0x0004668E4bA3429aFD233FDb7B0ab04522D2D366
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x003e0027f103535e339368e1520f762e354538c6c74da7ff04429cdc82800a19
399.31 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 8:52:19 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004c00760c91057f95eafd129d7c6057a2764e3d7f454fe9cf2e39df8feadf85
9,234.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 8:52:19 A.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Tx: 0x00210003c1ad4704949add2680b90a587f12ae9de3fb86cd3dd40a084b3f5204