Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 8:18:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 8:18:00 A.M. to 07/19/2026, 8:19:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
89% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 25,228.73
Unexplained QUAI: 3,170.39
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 394.21
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 79% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
7.1x previous minute
0.7x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
28,399.12 QUAI
394.21 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 28399 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 8:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,228.73 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0074e5634b6F1E4251b42A4B7D87f783367743e6
Net sender
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00147a09f8f4921EC6e7995369CaFAeFEc0ce636
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
127.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,228.73 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
28,399.12 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/19/2026, 8:18:22 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
4,006.42 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/19/2026, 8:17:22 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
43,224.73 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/19/2026, 8:19:22 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/19/2026, 8:16:21 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/19/2026, 8:20:22 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
400 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/19/2026, 8:15:21 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/19/2026, 8:21:21 A.M.
-4 min
29 tx
23,398.18 QUAI • 43 addresses
07/19/2026, 8:14:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.48 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 8:18:43 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 8:18:55 A.M.
From: 0x0074e5634b6F1E4251b42A4B7D87f783367743e6
To: 0x00147a09f8f4921EC6e7995369CaFAeFEc0ce636
Tx: 0x004f002f0e36401ef8ec5630230627ca632e4acdfbce35947fb62af42abdebb3
127.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 8:18:43 A.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006f006e27425074d4c13abb0bbdcd4e40b37e4baeb15f2e5012a847d53fb3d3
103.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 8:18:43 A.M.
From: 0x002a4A65718F725ee28124D06367A77743fFe4c1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00380050a45a1be239b99ee6240b10dd10c9d3a8892bfb3bdcbd5ffe41df4717
19,998.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 8:18:43 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0077006a1e0fcf22895f5f454368a420013c9bbbaf5959db596ff5f1dccefc96