Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 8:09:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 8:09:00 A.M. to 07/19/2026, 8:10:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,994.66
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 393.34
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
4.0x above local average
22x previous minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
4,994.66 QUAI
393.34 QI
Avg confidence
68.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0015204D2fca60f804871176618B236b371eC393.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4995 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0015204D2fca60f804871176618B236b371eC393.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 8:09:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,994.66 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0015204D2fca60f804871176618B236b371eC393
Net sender
Unknown type
2,395.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E
Net sender
Unknown type
1,242.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0054403727995A1b50197b34D7D6E64e70C068e1
Net sender
Unknown type
851.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0035a3f079558b319021f36CB34245A554F8Ae03
Net sender
Unknown type
503.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,994.66 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate5 tx
4,994.66 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/19/2026, 8:09:22 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
222.52 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/19/2026, 8:08:21 A.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/19/2026, 8:10:21 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/19/2026, 8:07:21 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 8:11:21 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/19/2026, 8:06:21 A.M.
+3 min
53 tx
4,842.99 QUAI • 65 addresses
07/19/2026, 8:12:22 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/19/2026, 8:05:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,395.98 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 8:09:17 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015204D2fca60f804871176618B236b371eC393
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
1,242.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 8:09:17 A.M.
From: 0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003400663bbbc107bd6d8ef45bda79a3dee7da16cee44ae1a20a201d647687e7
851.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 8:09:17 A.M.
From: 0x0054403727995A1b50197b34D7D6E64e70C068e1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0000001e9ddfc25c9f5a30ead366bb2a92ce66f16ebd39a938346cf5d9d6834d
503.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 8:09:17 A.M.
From: 0x0035a3f079558b319021f36CB34245A554F8Ae03
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003a007144b868eb46ffced3a24260713b8934474e08ec5b39a7ea4570bb4a65
2,395.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 8:09:17 A.M.
From: 0x0015204D2fca60f804871176618B236b371eC393
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007f0032279ea84d6507b75fd164f4477b512f8c41dc7247e2fcbcc786a7d414
393.34 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 8:09:13 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003e0061b7f35a365f710f6618cb08bb554f14e29224697aba705a1ff81ad402